论文标题

风速预测,使用类似喷气式建筑的深度合奏学习

Wind Speed Prediction using Deep Ensemble Learning with a Jet-like Architecture

论文作者

Qureshi, Aqsa Saeed, Khan, Asifullah, Khan, Muhammad Waleed

论文摘要

风是最常用的可再生能源之一。对于有效的发电速度,必须进行准确和可靠的风速预测;但是,这并不是一件容易的事,因为它取决于周围地区的气象特征。如今,深度学习已被广​​泛用于执行特征提取。还观察到,与单个模型相比,几种被称为集合学习的学习模型的整合通常可以提供更好的性能。机翼,尾部和鼻子的设计可改善空气动力学,从而与气流的变化相对于喷气机的光滑而受控的飞行。受喷气机的形状和工作的启发,提出了一种新颖的深层集合学习,使用类似喷气机架构(DEL-JET)技术,以增强学习系统的多样性和鲁棒性,以抵制输入空间的变化。使用类似喷气式的集合体系结构利用基本回调器的各种特征空间。两个卷积神经网络(作为喷射机翼)和一个深度自动编码器(作为喷射尾部)用于从输入数据中提取各种特征空间。之后,使用非线性PCA(作为JET主体)来降低提取特征空间的尺寸。最后,利用缩小的和原始的特征空间来训练元回调器(作为喷射鼻)以预测风速。评估了十项独立运行的提议DEL-JET技术的性能,并表明,深层和类似喷气式的架构有助于改善学习系统的稳健性和概括。

The wind is one of the most increasingly used renewable energy resources. Accurate and reliable forecast of wind speed is necessary for efficient power production; however, it is not an easy task because it depends upon meteorological features of the surrounding region. Deep learning is extensively used these days for performing feature extraction. It has also been observed that the integration of several learning models, known as ensemble learning, generally gives better performance compared to a single model. The design of wings, tail, and nose of a jet improves the aerodynamics resulting in a smooth and controlled flight of the jet against the variations of the air currents. Inspired by the shape and working of a jet, a novel Deep Ensemble Learning using Jet-like Architecture (DEL-Jet) technique is proposed to enhance the diversity and robustness of a learning system against the variations in the input space. The diverse feature spaces of the base-regressors are exploited using the jet-like ensemble architecture. Two Convolutional Neural Networks (as jet wings) and one deep Auto-Encoder (as jet tail) are used to extract the diverse feature spaces from the input data. After that, nonlinear PCA (as jet main body) is employed to reduce the dimensionality of extracted feature space. Finally, both the reduced and the original feature spaces are exploited to train the meta-regressor (as jet nose) for forecasting the wind speed. The performance of the proposed DEL-Jet technique is evaluated for ten independent runs and shows that the deep and jet-like architecture helps in improving the robustness and generalization of the learning system.

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