论文标题

PCL框架:一种响应气候变化影响的综合风险管理的战略方法

The PCL Framework: A strategic approach to comprehensive risk management in response to climate change impacts

论文作者

Nassef, Youssef

论文摘要

PCL框架提供了一种全面的气候风险管理方法,该方法基于评估财务和非财务损失耐受性的社会价值。该框架优化了三个主要集群的响应行动,即先发制人的适应(P)或降低风险,应有安排(C)和损失接受(L);没有预定的层次结构。 PCL框架的目的是在单个连续体内包括三个支出群,而主要的政策结果是通过优化模块在三个群集中的平衡行动组合,因此长期的总体支出是长期优化的。建议将方法分别应用于目标社区暴露的每个危害。虽然目前将其应用于与气候相关的风险管理中,但可以在社会买入中心的其他情况下重新使用该方法。

The PCL framework provides a comprehensive climate risk management approach grounded in the assessment of societal values of financial and non-financial loss tolerability. The framework optimizes response action across three main clusters, namely preemptive adaptation (P) or risk reduction, contingent arrangements (C), and loss acceptance (L); without a predetermined hierarchy across them. The PCL Framework aims at including the three clusters of outlay within a single continuum, and with the main policy outcome being a balanced portfolio of actions across the three clusters by way of an optimization module, such that the aggregate outlay is optimized in the long-term. It is proposed that the approach be applied separately for each hazard to which the target community is exposed. While it is currently applied to climate-related risk management, the methodology can be repurposed for use in other contexts where societal buy-in is central.

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