论文标题

SIR流行模型的准确闭合溶液

Accurate closed-form solution of the SIR epidemic model

论文作者

Barlow, Nathaniel S., Weinstein, Steven J.

论文摘要

通过使用渐近近似值,获得了SIR流行性模型的准确闭合溶液(Barlow等,2017,Q. JlMech。Appl。Math,70(1),21-48)。该解决方案是通过分析性继续发散功率系列解决方案而创建的,以便与流行病模型的长期渐近行为相匹配。分析形式的效用是通过其应用于COVID-19大流行的。

An accurate closed-form solution is obtained to the SIR Epidemic Model through the use of Asymptotic Approximants (Barlow et. al, 2017, Q. Jl Mech. Appl. Math, 70 (1), 21-48). The solution is created by analytically continuing the divergent power series solution such that it matches the long-time asymptotic behavior of the epidemic model. The utility of the analytical form is demonstrated through its application to the COVID-19 pandemic.

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