论文标题
使用基于代理的社会模拟分析Corovanvirus大流行的健康,社会和经济影响的综合健康,社会和经济影响
Analysing the combined health, social and economic impacts of the corovanvirus pandemic using agent-based social simulation
论文作者
论文摘要
在19日危机期间,政府和其他决策者必须做出许多艰难的决定。例如。我们要完全锁定还是让学校开放?多少人应该测试哪些人?尽管有很多来自例如流行病学家在某些情况下关于病毒的传播,这些模型并未直接转化为政府可以采取的干预措施。这些模型也不能促进理解干预措施的经济和/或社会后果。但是,有效和可持续的解决方案需要考虑到这些因素的组合。在本文中,我们提出了一种基于代理的社会模拟工具Assocc,该工具支持决策者了解政策干预的可能后果,BU探讨了这些干预措施的联合社会,健康和经济后果。
During the COVID-19 crisis there have been many difficult decisions governments and other decision makers had to make. E.g. do we go for a total lock down or keep schools open? How many people and which people should be tested? Although there are many good models from e.g. epidemiologists on the spread of the virus under certain conditions, these models do not directly translate into the interventions that can be taken by government. Neither can these models contribute to understand the economic and/or social consequences of the interventions. However, effective and sustainable solutions need to take into account this combination of factors. In this paper, we propose an agent-based social simulation tool, ASSOCC, that supports decision makers understand possible consequences of policy interventions, bu exploring the combined social, health and economic consequences of these interventions.