论文标题
COVID-19在异质种群中传播的多组SEIRA模型
A multi-group SEIRA model for the spread of COVID-19 among heterogeneous populations
论文作者
论文摘要
Covid-19的爆发和传播对现代社会构成了重大挑战。特别是，政府为防止病毒传播所采取的不同限制性行动改变了人类互动和受孕的相互作用的方式。由于地理，行为或经济因素，人口中不同的子组更有可能相互作用，因此可以传播/获取病毒。在这项工作中，我们提出了一个一般的多组SEIRA模型，用于代表19. Covid-19在异质种群中的传播，并在研究的数值案例中进行测试。通过强调其适用性和可以适应特定研究的一般表述的易度性，我们希望我们的模型能够更好地了解这种大流行的演变，并更好地控制公共卫生政策以控制它。
The outbreak and propagation of COVID-19 have posed a considerable challenge to modern society. In particular, the different restrictive actions taken by governments to prevent the spread of the virus have changed the way humans interact and conceive interaction. Due to geographical, behavioral, or economic factors, different sub-groups among a population are more (or less) likely to interact, and thus to spread/acquire the virus. In this work, we present a general multi-group SEIRA model for representing the spread of COVID-19 among a heterogeneous population and test it in a numerical case of study. By highlighting its applicability and the ease with which its general formulation can be adapted to particular studies, we expect our model to lead us to a better understanding of the evolution of this pandemic and to better public-health policies to control it.
