论文标题
云杉芽虫和油价：生物物理类比
Spruce budworm and oil price: a biophysical analogy
论文作者
论文摘要
复杂系统的行为是最近科学研究的最有趣的现象之一。天然和人造系统为这种分析提供了广泛的机会。能量转换既是基于重要的物理定律的过程，也是最重要的经济部门之一。能源生产的这两个方面之间的相互作用表明有可能应用动态系统分析的某些方法。特别是，一个相图是检测复杂系统中数量之间相关性的方法之一，它为建立生态系统和经济系统之间的定性类比提供了一种很好的方法，并可能阐明了管理系统演变的过程。本文的目的是强调石油生产与价格与价格的某些特殊特征之间的类比，并显示了这种特征与自然界中某些行为机制相似的方式。
The behavior of complex systems is one of the most intriguing phenomena investigated by recent science; natural and artificial systems offer a wide opportunity for this kind of analysis. The energy conversion is both a process based on important physical laws and one of the most important economic sectors; the interaction between these two aspects of energy production suggests the possibility to apply some of the approaches of the dynamic systems' analysis. In particular, a phase plot, which is one of the methods to detect a correlation between quantities in a complex system, provides a good way to establish qualitative analogies between the ecological systems and the economic ones and may shed light on the processes governing the evolution of the system. The aim of this paper is to highlight the analogies between some peculiar characteristics of the oil production vs. price and show in which way such characteristics are similar to some behavioral mechanisms found in Nature.
