论文标题
量化人类流动性行为因响应美国在美国爆发期间非药物干预措施而发生的变化
Quantifying human mobility behavior changes in response to non-pharmaceutical interventions during the COVID-19 outbreak in the United States
论文作者
论文摘要
自从在中国武汉确认新型冠状病毒病(Covid-19)的第一个病例以来,包括美国在内的全球范围内已促进了社会疏远。它是主要的社区缓解策略之一,也称为非药物干预措施。但是,我们的理解在人们如何实践社会距离方面仍然受到限制。在这项研究中,我们构建了一个社会距离指数(SDI),以评估人们的流动模式随着COVID-19的传播的变化。从2020年1月1日至2020年4月9日,我们利用了连续美国以及阿拉斯加和夏威夷的移动设备位置数据的集成数据集。主要的发现是:1)关于COVID-19的国家紧急情况的宣布,与COVID-19的爆发有关,非常鼓励社会遥远,并在大多数情况下进一步加强了命令,以进一步加强了命令的实践。 2)更确认的案件的各州在实践社会疏远方面采取了更加积极和及时的回应; 3)在确认案件较少的州的人们并没有太多关注维持社会疏远,例如怀俄明州,北达科他州和蒙大拿州已经开始练习较少的社会距离,尽管确认案件的速度提高了。 4)一些感染率最高的县的社交距离没有太多,例如,佐治亚州的伦道夫县和多尔蒂县,一些县开始在确认案件越来越下降之后,在越来越多的社会距离下,例如,在爱达荷州布莱恩县,在爱达荷州布莱恩县,这也可能很危险。
Ever since the first case of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) was confirmed in Wuhan, China, social distancing has been promoted worldwide, including the United States. It is one of the major community mitigation strategies, also known as non-pharmaceutical interventions. However, our understanding is remaining limited in how people practice social distancing. In this study, we construct a Social Distancing Index (SDI) to evaluate people's mobility pattern changes along with the spread of COVID-19. We utilize an integrated dataset of mobile device location data for the contiguous United States plus Alaska and Hawaii over a 100-day period from January 1, 2020 to April 9, 2020. The major findings are: 1) the declaration of the national emergency concerning the COVID-19 outbreak greatly encouraged social distancing and the mandatory stay-at-home orders in most states further strengthened the practice; 2) the states with more confirmed cases have taken more active and timely responses in practicing social distancing; 3) people in the states with fewer confirmed cases did not pay much attention to maintaining social distancing and some states, e.g., Wyoming, North Dakota, and Montana, already began to practice less social distancing despite the high increasing speed of confirmed cases; 4) some counties with the highest infection rates are not performing much social distancing, e.g., Randolph County and Dougherty County in Georgia, and some counties began to practice less social distancing right after the increasing speed of confirmed cases went down, e.g., in Blaine County, Idaho, which may be dangerous as well.