论文标题
从坏事到更糟:响应Covid-19的航空公司登机变化
From Bad to Worse: Airline Boarding Changes in Response to COVID-19
论文作者
论文摘要
航空公司针对19日大流行而引入了一个倒退的登机过程。这是出于渴望减少乘客坐下时靠近座位的乘客的可能性的愿望。但是,我们先前关于飞机埃博拉病毒风险的工作表明,增加感染传播风险的驱动力是乘客的聚集,同时等待其他人将行李存放并坐在座位上。在这项工作中,我们检查了新的登机过程是导致感染蔓延风险增加还是减少。我们还研究与不同登机过程相关的风险差异背后的原因。我们通过使用行人动态模拟新的登机过程来实现这一目标,并将它们与替代方案进行比较。我们的结果表明,与随机登机相比,倒台登机大约使感染暴露量翻了一番。与典型的登机过程相比,在Covid-19爆发之前,它还增加了约50%。在保持中间座椅空的同时,暴露量会大大减少,但我们的结果表明,在这种情况下,不同的登机过程与中间座位的相对优势相似。我们表明,增加的接触是由于在过道中移动和坐下时的接近。我们的结果表明,航空公司要么恢复到他们较早的登机过程,要么采用更好的随机过程。
Airlines have introduced a back-to-front boarding process in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. It is motivated by the desire to reduce passengers' likelihood of passing close to seated passengers when they take their seats. However, our prior work on the risk of Ebola spread in airplanes suggested that the driving force for increased exposure to infection transmission risk is the clustering of passengers while waiting for others to stow their luggage and take their seats. In this work, we examine whether the new boarding processes lead to increased or decreased risk of infection spread. We also study the reasons behind the risk differences associated with different boarding processes. We accomplish this by simulating the new boarding processes using pedestrian dynamics and compare them against alternatives. Our results show that back-to-front boarding roughly doubles the infection exposure compared with random boarding. It also increases exposure by around 50% compared to a typical boarding process prior to the outbreak of COVID-19. While keeping middle seats empty yields a substantial reduction in exposure, our results show that the different boarding processes have similar relative strengths in this case as with middle seats occupied. We show that the increased exposure arises from the proximity between passengers moving in the aisle and while seated. Our results suggest that airlines either revert to their earlier boarding process or adopt the better random process.