论文标题
部分可观测时空混沌系统的无模型预测
Análise dos fatores determinantes para o decreto de prisão preventiva em casos envolvendo acusações por roubo, tráfico de drogas e furto: Um estudo no âmbito das cidades mais populosas do Paraná
论文作者
论文摘要
基于标签方法的理论假设,批判性犯罪学和行为经济学的理论认为,几乎一半的巴西监狱人口是由正在审判前拘留的个人组成的,它是为了评估徒劳与判例的特征,以确定裁判的主观性,以确定这些决定,以确定这些决定,以确定这些决定,以确定这些决定。该研究最初采用了一种演绎方法,基于以下原则:外部客观因素鼓励治安法官在某种意义上做出决定。然后,它专注于识别公称和据称犯罪的特征与指导这些决定有关。随后,在扣除了此类因素后,采用了归纳方法,分析了指出的理论假设的数据。在研究期间,分析了277个决定,将决定视为个人决定,而不是监护听证会。该样本在巴拉那州最大的城市中作出了六名法官的决定,以及盗窃,抢劫和毒品贩运的罪行。然后得出的结论是,公开遭受的遭受的年龄,性别,社会阶层和指控类型对于他临时逮捕的法令是决定性的,因为根据该案的法官,该法令的机会可以增加700%,高达700%,考虑到环境和因果变量是恒定的。鉴于样本量较小,就法官的数量而言,需要更广泛的研究,以便可以得出民族有效性的结论。
Based on the theoretical assumptions of the Labeling Approach, Critical Criminology and Behavioral Economics, taking into account that almost half of the Brazilian prison population is composed of individuals who are serving pre-trial detention, it was sought to assess the characteristics of the flagranteated were presented as determinants to influence the subjectivity of the judges in the decision to determine, or not, the custody of these. The research initially adopted a deductive methodology, based on the principle that external objective factors encourage magistrates to decide in a certain sense. It was then focused on the identification of which characteristics of the flagranteated and allegedly committed crimes would be relevant to guide such decisions. Subsequently, after deduction of such factors, an inductive methodology was adopted, analyzing the data from the theoretical assumptions pointed out. During the research, 277 decisions were analyzed, considering decision as individual decision and not custody hearing. This sample embarked decisions of six judges among the largest cities of the State of Paraná and concerning the crimes of theft, robbery and drug trafficking. It was then concluded that the age, gender, social class and type of accusation that the flagranteated suffered are decisive for the decree of his provisional arrest, being that, depending on the judge competent in the case, the chances of the decree can increase in Up to 700%, taking into account that the circumstantial and causal variables are constant. Given the small sample size, as far as the number of judges is concerned, more extensive research is needed so that conclusions of national validity can be developed.