论文标题

相对财富关注部分信息和异质先验

Relative wealth concerns with partial information and heterogeneous priors

论文作者

Deng, Chao, Su, Xizhi, Zhou, Chao

论文摘要

当市场回报无法观察时,我们在具有相对财富水平的绩效标准的市场中建立了NASH平衡。每个投资者都对风险资产的回报率有随机的信念。投资者在先前的平均值和差异方面都可能是异质的。通过分离结果和Martingale的论点,我们表明,随机回报率模型下的最佳投资策略可以通过完全耦合的线性FBSDE来表征。两组深神经网络用于数值计算,以首先找到每个投资者对平均收益率的估计,然后解决FBSDES。我们确定了具有随机系数的FBSDES类的存在和唯一性结果,并使用深层神经网络功能近似器在部分信息下解决了公用事业游戏。我们通过与线性案例中有限差异方案的解决方案进行了基础案例比较来证明效率和准确性,并将算法应用于非线性隐藏可变过程的一般情况。投资策略的模拟表明,投资者在相对性的关注下更积极地进行交易。检查了投资策略和投资组合绩效的统计特性,包括Sharpe比率和方差风险比(VRR)。我们观察到,与同质案例相比,与竞争对异质特征的影响可能会导致牛群,而竞争对异质特征的影响更大。

We establish a Nash equilibrium in a market with $ N $ agents with the performance criteria of relative wealth level when the market return is unobservable. Each investor has a random prior belief on the return rate of the risky asset. The investors can be heterogeneous in both the mean and variance of the prior. By a separation result and a martingale argument, we show that the optimal investment strategy under a stochastic return rate model can be characterized by a fully-coupled linear FBSDE. Two sets of deep neural networks are used for the numerical computation to first find each investor's estimate of the mean return rate and then solve the FBSDEs. We establish the existence and uniqueness result for the class of FBSDEs with stochastic coefficients and solve the utility game under partial information using deep neural network function approximators. We demonstrate the efficiency and accuracy by a base-case comparison with the solution from the finite difference scheme in the linear case and apply the algorithm to the general case of nonlinear hidden variable process. Simulations of investment strategies show a herd effect that investors trade more aggressively under relativeness concerns. Statistical properties of the investment strategies and the portfolio performance, including the Sharpe ratios and the Variance Risk ratios (VRRs) are examed. We observe that the agent with the most accurate prior estimate is likely to lead the herd, and the effect of competition on heterogeneous agents varies more with market characteristics compared to the homogeneous case.

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