论文标题
深度学习模型,用于早期检测和预测新型冠状病毒的传播(Covid-19)
Deep Learning Models for Early Detection and Prediction of the spread of Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19)
论文作者
论文摘要
导致冠状病毒疾病(Covid-19)的SARS-COV2正在继续在全球范围内传播,并已成为大流行。人们由于病毒和缺乏反对措施而丧生。鉴于案件量的增加和差异的不确定性,迫切需要开发机器学习技术来预测COVID-19的传播。对价差的预测可以允许采取反对措施和行动来减轻COVID-19的传播。在本文中,我们提出了一种深度学习技术,称为“深层顺序预测模型”(DSPM)和基于机器学习的非参数回归模型(NRM),以预测COVID-19的传播。我们提出的模型经过了新型冠状病毒2019数据集的培训和测试,该数据集包含1953万个确认的COVID案例。通过使用平均绝对误差和基线方法对我们提出的模型进行评估。我们的实验结果,无论是定量还是定性,都证明了所提出的模型的出色预测性能。
SARS-CoV2, which causes coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is continuing to spread globally and has become a pandemic. People have lost their lives due to the virus and the lack of counter measures in place. Given the increasing caseload and uncertainty of spread, there is an urgent need to develop machine learning techniques to predict the spread of COVID-19. Prediction of the spread can allow counter measures and actions to be implemented to mitigate the spread of COVID-19. In this paper, we propose a deep learning technique, called Deep Sequential Prediction Model (DSPM) and machine learning based Non-parametric Regression Model (NRM) to predict the spread of COVID-19. Our proposed models were trained and tested on novel coronavirus 2019 dataset, which contains 19.53 Million confirmed cases of COVID-19. Our proposed models were evaluated by using Mean Absolute Error and compared with baseline method. Our experimental results, both quantitative and qualitative, demonstrate the superior prediction performance of the proposed models.