论文标题
传统手段不可能:从DARPA红色气球挑战赛十年
Impossible by Conventional Means: Ten Years on from the DARPA Red Balloon Challenge
论文作者
论文摘要
十年前,DARPA推出了“网络挑战”,通常被称为“ DARPA红色气球挑战赛”。在美国未知地点固定了十个红色天气气球。提出了一个开放的挑战以定位所有十个,第一个这样做的挑战将被宣布为获得现金奖励的获胜者。麻省理工学院媒体实验室的一个团队能够在9小时内使用社交媒体和一个新颖的奖励计划来奖励病毒招聘。这项成就被正确地看作是社交媒体(当时相对较新)的非凡能力的证明,以解决现实世界中的问题,例如大规模的空间搜索。然而,经过反思,尽管许多努力提供了有关气球位置的虚假信息,但它还是很引人注目的,因为它取得了成功。当时,根据视觉证明的手动检查,对虚假报告进行了过滤,并将报告的IP地址与声称的气球坐标进行了比较。从那以后的十年中,社交媒体上的错误信息在流行率和成熟度中变得不断增长,成为我们这个时代定义的社会问题之一。从红色气球挑战挑战中观察到的错误信息也有所不同,并在其他社会动员挑战中意外的不利影响,而不是错误,而是作为基本特征。我们进一步研究了政治两极分化水平在调节社会动员中的作用。我们确认极化不仅阻碍了动员的整体成功,而且导致对相对极化状态的可达到性较低,从而极大地阻碍了募集。我们发现,多元化的社会影响地理途径是规避政治动员障碍的关键,并可以提高新的公开挑战的成功。
Ten years ago, DARPA launched the 'Network Challenge', more commonly known as the 'DARPA Red Balloon Challenge'. Ten red weather balloons were fixed at unknown locations in the US. An open challenge was launched to locate all ten, the first to do so would be declared the winner receiving a cash prize. A team from MIT Media Lab was able to locate them all within 9 hours using social media and a novel reward scheme that rewarded viral recruitment. This achievement was rightly seen as proof of the remarkable ability of social media, then relatively nascent, to solve real world problems such as large-scale spatial search. Upon reflection, however, the challenge was also remarkable as it succeeded despite many efforts to provide false information on the location of the balloons. At the time the false reports were filtered based on manual inspection of visual proof and comparing the IP addresses of those reporting with the purported coordinates of the balloons. In the ten years since, misinformation on social media has grown in prevalence and sophistication to be one of the defining social issues of our time. Seen differently we can cast the misinformation observed in the Red Balloon Challenge, and unexpected adverse effects in other social mobilisation challenges subsequently, not as bugs but as essential features. We further investigate the role of the increasing levels of political polarisation in modulating social mobilisation. We confirm that polarisation not only impedes the overall success of mobilisation, but also leads to a low reachability to oppositely polarised states, significantly hampering recruitment. We find that diversifying geographic pathways of social influence are key to circumvent barriers of political mobilisation and can boost the success of new open challenges.