论文标题

自然灾害的建模和电力系统弹性增强和评估方法中的极端事件的建模

Modeling of Natural Disasters and Extreme Events in Power System Resilience Enhancement and Evaluation Methods

论文作者

Bhusal, Narayan, Gautam, Mukesh, Abdelmalak, Michael, Benidris, Mohammed

论文摘要

在过去的十年中,破坏性和新出现的威胁的频率(例如人造攻击 - 周期和身体攻击;极端的自然事件(赫里奇,地震和洪水)在过去十年中急剧升级。这些事件的影响非常严重。这些事件的准确建模至关重要,因为它们是评估和评估各种操作和计划投资策略以使电力系统与这些事件相比的数学工具。本文对极端事件,系统组件和系统响应的当前实践进行了全面而批判性的审查,以进行弹性评估和增强,这是一块非常重要的垫脚石,用于开发完整,准确和计算上有吸引力的建模技术。本文始于审查现有技术以建模极端事件的传播,然后讨论用于建模这些事件对电源系统组件和系统响应的影响的方法。本文还讨论了研究差距和相关的挑战,以及对现有建模方法局限性的潜在解决方案。

The frequency of disruptive and newly emerging threats (e.g. man-made attacks--cyber and physical attacks; extreme natural events--hurricanes, earthquakes, and floods) has escalated dramatically in the last decade. Impacts of these events are very severe ranging from long power outage duration, major power system equipment (e.g. power generation plants, transmission and distribution lines, and substation) destruction, and complete blackout. Accurate modeling of these events is vitally important as they serve as mathematical tools for the assessment and evaluation of various operations and planning investment strategies to harden power systems against these events. This paper provides a comprehensive and critical review of current practices in the modeling of extreme events, system components, and system response for resilience evaluation and enhancement, which is a very important stepping stone toward the development of complete, accurate, and computationally attractive modeling techniques. The paper starts with reviewing existing technologies to model the propagation of extreme events and then discusses the approaches used to model impacts of these events on power system components and system response. This paper also discusses the research gaps and associated challenges, and potential solutions to the limitations of the existing modeling approaches.

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