论文标题
使用模拟将动态标准纳入多个标准决策
Using simulation to incorporate dynamic criteria into multiple criteria decision-making
论文作者
论文摘要
在本文中,我们提出了一个案例研究,该案例研究表明如何在离散事件模拟的帮助下将动态标准和不确定标准纳入多准则分析。模拟引导的多标准分析可以包括静态或动态的货币和非货币标准,而标准的多标准分析仅涉及静态标准,而成本效益分析仅涉及静态货币标准。通过使用仿真来探索决策选项的执行方式,将动态和不确定的标准合并。然后将模拟的结果送入多准则分析。通过启用动态和不确定标准的结合,动态多重标准分析能够对该问题进行独特的视角。动态多准则分析返回的最高排名选项与其他决策援助技术不同。
In this paper, we present a case study demonstrating how dynamic and uncertain criteria can be incorporated into a multicriteria analysis with the help of discrete event simulation. The simulation guided multicriteria analysis can include both monetary and non-monetary criteria that are static or dynamic, whereas standard multi criteria analysis only deals with static criteria and cost benefit analysis only deals with static monetary criteria. The dynamic and uncertain criteria are incorporated by using simulation to explore how the decision options perform. The results of the simulation are then fed into the multicriteria analysis. By enabling the incorporation of dynamic and uncertain criteria, the dynamic multiple criteria analysis was able to take a unique perspective of the problem. The highest ranked option returned by the dynamic multicriteria analysis differed from the other decision aid techniques.