论文标题
集群网络上的合作感染动态
Cooperative coinfection dynamics on clustered networks
论文作者
论文摘要
共同感染是在以后的时间点上感染病原体的宿主会被第二个病原体感染的过程。免疫抑制剂对原发性疾病的宿主反应可以促进人群中随后的新兴病原体的传播。可以使用复杂的网络对基板民众中的社会接触模式进行建模,并且已经表明,接触模式极大地影响了新兴的疾病动态。在本文中,我们考虑了接触聚类对两种在网络上传播的病原体的共感染动力学的影响。我们使用生成函数公式来描述每种病原体的预期暴发大小,并数值研究允许网络中每个菌株共存的阈值标准。我们发现,聚类对共感染水平的影响受到接触拓扑的细节。
Coinfection is the process by which a host that is infected with a pathogen becomes infected by a second pathogen at a later point in time. An immunosuppressant host response to a primary disease can facilitate spreading of a subsequent emergent pathogen among the population. Social contact patterns within the substrate populace can be modelled using complex networks and it has been shown that contact patterns vastly influence the emergent disease dynamics. In this paper, we consider the effect of contact clustering on the coinfection dynamics of two pathogens spreading over a network. We use the generating function formulation to describe the expected outbreak sizes of each pathogen and numerically study the threshold criteria that permit the coexistence of each strain among the network. We find that the effects of clustering on the levels of coinfection are governed by the details of the contact topology.