论文标题

时间汇总技术应用于现实生活扇区耦合能源系统的容量扩展模型

Time Aggregation Techniques Applied to a Capacity Expansion Model for Real-Life Sector Coupled Energy Systems

论文作者

Gamst, Mette, Buchholz, Stefanie, Pisinger, David

论文摘要

模拟能源系统对于能源计划至关重要,以了解可再生能源波动的影响和多个能源部门的整合。容量扩展是能源分析师的强大工具,包括模拟能源系统,可以选择投资新的能源。在本文中,我们将基于聚类的聚合技术从文献应用于非常不同的现实生活界耦合能源系统。我们会系统地比较有关解决方案质量和仿真时间的聚合技术。此外,我们提出了两种新的聚类方法,并具有令人鼓舞的结果。我们表明,聚合技术导致解决方案的时间节省在75%至90%之间。而且,聚合解决方案的质量通常非常好。据我们所知,我们是第一个分析并得出结论的人,即群集的加权表示是有益的。此外,据我们所知,我们是第一个在非常不同的能量系统上具有良好性能的聚类技术的人:具有欧几里得距离测量,聚类天数和加权选择的K均值,其中选择了集群中的中位数,最大和最小元素。对结果的更深入的分析表明,当投资决策与能源系统的整体行为良好相关时,聚合技术会出色。我们建议未来的研究方向在情况下进行补救。

Simulating energy systems is vital for energy planning to understand the effects of fluctuating renewable energy sources and integration of multiple energy sectors. Capacity expansion is a powerful tool for energy analysts and consists of simulating energy systems with the option of investing in new energy sources. In this paper, we apply clustering based aggregation techniques from the literature to very different real-life sector coupled energy systems. We systematically compare the aggregation techniques with respect to solution quality and simulation time. Furthermore, we propose two new clustering approaches with promising results. We show that the aggregation techniques result in consistent solution time savings between 75% and 90%. Also, the quality of the aggregated solutions is generally very good. To the best of our knowledge, we are the first to analyze and conclude that a weighted representation of clusters is beneficial. Furthermore, to the best of our knowledge, we are the first to recommend a clustering technique with good performance across very different energy systems: the k-means with Euclidean distance measure, clustering days and with weighted selection, where the median, maximum and minimum elements from clusters are selected. A deeper analysis of the results reveal that the aggregation techniques excel when the investment decisions correlate well with the overall behavior of the energy system. We propose future research directions to remedy when this is not the case.

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