论文标题

基于多反向时空网络的联合空气质量和天气预测

Joint Air Quality and Weather Prediction Based on Multi-Adversarial Spatiotemporal Networks

论文作者

Han, Jindong, Liu, Hao, Zhu, Hengshu, Xiong, Hui, Dou, Dejing

论文摘要

准确,及时的空气质量和天气预测对于城市治理和人类生计至关重要。尽管为空气质量或天气预测做出了许多努力,但其中大多数只是用作特征输入,这忽略了两个预测任务之间的内部连接。一方面,对一个任务的准确预测可以帮助提高另一个任务的绩效。另一方面,地理空间分布的空气质量和天气监测站为全市范围的时空依赖性建模提供了其他提示。受到上述两个见解的启发,在本文中,我们提出了多个对抗性时空复发图神经网络(Mastergnn),以进行关节空气质量和天气预测。具体而言,我们首先提出了一个异质的复发图神经网络,以对空气质量和天气监测站之间的时空自相关进行建模。然后,我们开发了一个多反向图形学习框架,以防止时空建模引入的观察噪声传播。此外,我们通过将多交流学习作为多任务学习问题提出自适应培训策略。最后,在两个现实世界数据集上进行了广泛的实验表明,与空气质量和天气预测任务的七个基线相比,Mastergnn取得了最佳性能。

Accurate and timely air quality and weather predictions are of great importance to urban governance and human livelihood. Though many efforts have been made for air quality or weather prediction, most of them simply employ one another as feature input, which ignores the inner-connection between two predictive tasks. On the one hand, the accurate prediction of one task can help improve another task's performance. On the other hand, geospatially distributed air quality and weather monitoring stations provide additional hints for city-wide spatiotemporal dependency modeling. Inspired by the above two insights, in this paper, we propose the Multi-adversarial spatiotemporal recurrent Graph Neural Networks (MasterGNN) for joint air quality and weather predictions. Specifically, we first propose a heterogeneous recurrent graph neural network to model the spatiotemporal autocorrelation among air quality and weather monitoring stations. Then, we develop a multi-adversarial graph learning framework to against observation noise propagation introduced by spatiotemporal modeling. Moreover, we present an adaptive training strategy by formulating multi-adversarial learning as a multi-task learning problem. Finally, extensive experiments on two real-world datasets show that MasterGNN achieves the best performance compared with seven baselines on both air quality and weather prediction tasks.

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