论文标题
使用不确定性定量工具开发水热液化应用的水性木质素混合物模型
Development of an aqueous lignin mixture thermophysical model for hydrothermal liquefaction applications using uncertainty quantification tools
论文作者
论文摘要
储层计算是预测湍流的有力工具,其简单的架构具有处理大型系统的计算效率。然而,其实现通常需要完整的状态向量测量和系统非线性知识。我们使用非线性投影函数将系统测量扩展到高维空间,然后将其输入到储层中以获得预测。我们展示了这种储层计算网络在时空混沌系统上的应用,该系统模拟了湍流的若干特征。我们表明,使用径向基函数作为非线性投影器,即使只有部分观测并且不知道控制方程,也能稳健地捕捉复杂的系统非线性。最后,我们表明,当测量稀疏、不完整且带有噪声,甚至控制方程变得不准确时,我们的网络仍然可以产生相当准确的预测,从而为实际湍流系统的无模型预测铺平了道路。
A thermophysical model is developed that can predict the properties of two lignin mixtures, black liquor and lignosulfonates, up to 50% mass fractions, at hydrothermal conditions. An uncertainty quantification framework linked with classic thermodynamical modelling was included to account for the extreme variability of the raw material. An idealized flow simulation verified the model, where hot compressed water mixes with a cold, aqueous lignin stream in a T-piece reactor configuration. The uncertainty quantification procedure determined that density and heat capacity uncertainty significantly influence residence time, and viscosity uncertainty mainly affects mixing. Micromixing time is five-fold and ten-fold higher for black liquor and lignosulfonates mixtures, respectively, compared to pure water mixing. The uncertainty in all simulated quantities of interest caused by the thermophysical model is reduced by increasing flow rates. This study predicted chemical reactor behaviour under varying thermophysical conditions and their final effect in terms of confidence intervals.