论文标题

三重:现代科学方法的重要组成部分

Triplication: an important component of the modern scientific method

论文作者

Clark, Jeremy S. C., Rydzewska, Kamila, Podsiadło, Konrad

论文摘要

科学研究中部署的协议旨在将结果带到允许进行归纳推理的状态。在19世纪,将三分之一的三次置于植物科学中,而费舍尔的P <0.05 Rule(1925)被纳入了三重分配方案,旨在抵消随机和系统的错误。这里的目的是:定义复制协议(包括未复制的协议);评估一种特定科学类型的一年(2017年)一年(2017年)的植物科学的流行;并阐明三分之一的理论基础。涉及的方法:对植物科学的整个领域进行调查,以产生议定书的报道;关联与实验研究的评估;并使用现实世界中的代理以增加复制数字的置信区间宽度模式。结果表明,在植物科学中广泛应用了三重研究(在70%的研究中),其中三重归因于约15%的研究。理论上的考虑表明,即使系统错误占主导地位,平方根规则也可能适用于许多数据集,并给出了现实世界中的代理示例。结论是:有很大的理论原因是(1)三次(而不是重复或四次复制)是标准的; (2)三重分(而不是全局)协议是最佳的;此外(3)尽管出版了巨大压力,但工厂科学中的标准仍然很高。

A protocol deployed in a scientific study is designed to bring results to a state from which inductive inference is allowed to be made. In the nineteenth century triplication was introduced into the plant sciences, and Fisher's p<0.05 rule (1925) was incorporated to give a triple-result protocol designed to counter random and systematic errors. The aims here were: to define replication protocols (including a non-replicated protocol); assess prevalences for the plant sciences in one year (2017) in the twenty-first century for one particular science type; and to elucidate the theoretical basis for triplication. Methods involved: survey of the entire field of plant sciences to produce a protocol-prevalence report; an assessment of association versus experimental studies; and use of real-world-data proxies to show confidence-interval-width patterns with increasing replicate number. Results showed that triplication was extensively applied (in ~70% of studies) in the plant sciences, with triple-result protocols in ~15% of studies. Theoretical considerations showed that, even if systematic errors predominate, square-root rules are likely to apply to many datasets, and real-world-data proxy examples are given. Conclusions are: there are strong theoretical reasons why (1) triplication (rather than duplication or quadruplication) is the standard; and (2) a triple-result (rather than global) protocol is optimal; additionally (3) that standards in the plant sciences remain at high levels despite the immense pressures for publication.

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