论文标题

评估急诊室的分流流模型

Evaluation of a Split Flow Model for the Emergency Department

论文作者

Gomez, Juan Camilo David, Cochran, Amy L., Patterson, Brian W., Zayas-Caban, Gabriel

论文摘要

分裂流程模型,其中医生而不是护士进行分类,越来越多地用于医院急诊室(EDS)来改善患者流动。在确定是否应采用这种干预措施之前,重要的是要了解分裂如何因果关系影响患者的流动和结果。我们采用因果推理方法来估计分裂流程模型的平均因果关系,以便于空间,在闲置之后进行处置,录取决策和ED在大型高等教育医院进行,该医院每天在某些小时内使用分裂流程模型。我们提出了回归不连续性(RD)设计,以识别平均因果效应,我们使用因果图将其形式化。使用电子健康记录数据(n = 21,570),我们估计分裂流量增加了大约4.6分钟的平均时间(95%CI:[2.9,6.2]分钟),但将平均处理时间的平均时间减少14.4分钟(95%CI:95%CI:[4.1,24.7]分钟),导致整体减少住院时间。还发现分裂流程将入院率降低5.9%(95%CI:[2.3%,9.4%]),但不能以重新访问率的显着变化为代价。最后,我们发现分裂流程模型在降低拥塞水平的降低长度方面特别有效,这些分析部分归因于分配给Triage的医师的早期任务启动。

Split flow models, in which a physician rather than a nurse performs triage, are increasingly being used in hospital emergency departments (EDs) to improve patient flow. Before deciding whether such interventions should be adopted, it is important to understand how split flows causally impact patient flow and outcomes. We employ causal inference methodology to estimate average causal effects of a split flow model on time to be roomed, time to disposition after being roomed, admission decisions, and ED revisits at a large tertiary teaching hospital that uses a split flow model during certain hours each day. We propose a regression discontinuity (RD) design to identify average causal effects, which we formalize with causal diagrams. Using electronic health records data (n = 21,570), we estimate that split flow increases average time to be roomed by about 4.6 minutes (95% CI: [2.9,6.2] minutes) but decreases average time to disposition by 14.4 minutes (95% CI: [4.1,24.7] minutes), leading to an overall reduction in length of stay. Split flow is also found to decrease admission rates by 5.9% (95% CI: [2.3%, 9.4%]) but not at the expense of a significant change in revisit rates. Lastly, we find that the split flow model is especially effective at reducing length of stay during low congestion levels, which mediation analysis partly attributes to early task initiation by the physician assigned to triage.

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