论文标题
快速失去北极海冰
Rapid loss of Arctic sea ice
论文作者
论文摘要
在经常使用的气候模型中，仍然忽略了几个环境临界点和自我增强反馈回路。因此，现有的气候模型并不是在触发实际环境转折点之后提供条件预测的非常代表性的。在这项贡献中，我们讨论了北极海冰损失临界点的存在及其对全球变暖的影响。我们的文献搜索和基于PIOMAS SEA量观察数据的投影表明，在不久的将来，海冰损失的显着加速度（导致一年和永久无冰北极）。
Several environmental tipping points and self-reinforcing feedback loops are still disregarded within the frequently used climate models. Thus, existing climate models are not very representative for providing projections of the conditions after the actual environmental tipping points are triggered. In this contribution, we discuss the presence of the Arctic sea-ice loss tipping point and its influence on global warming. Our literature search and PIOMAS sea volume observation data based projection indicate the significant acceleration of the sea-ice loss (which leads to a year around and permanent ice-free Arctic) in near future.
