论文标题

具有竞争力的观察学习

Observational Learning with Competitive Prices

论文作者

Xu, Zikai

论文摘要

人们最终会通过可观察的信息来学习资产的价值吗?本文研究了具有竞争力的市场的观察学习。将市场与公共信号和一个与私人信号的市场进行比较,我们发现成对信息(PI)是具有公共信号的市场的充分和必要的学习条件;艾弗里(Avery)和泽姆斯基(Zemsky)条件(AZC)是具有私人信号的市场的足够且必要的学习条件。此外,当状态数为2或3时,PI和AZC等效。当状态的数量大于3时,PI和单调可能性比性能(MLRP)一起暗示了私人信号案例中的渐近学习。

Will people eventually learn the value of an asset through observable information? This paper studies observational learning in a market with competitive prices. Comparing a market with public signals and a market with private signals in a sequential trading model, we find that Pairwise Informativeness (PI) is the sufficient and necessary learning condition for a market with public signals; and Avery and Zemsky Condition (AZC) is the sufficient and necessary learning condition for a market with private signals. Moreover, when the number of states is 2 or 3, PI and AZC are equivalent. And when the number of states is greater than 3, PI and Monotonic Likelihood Ratio Property (MLRP) together imply asymptotic learning in the private signal case.

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