论文标题
使用离散事件模拟和数学建模分析医院床的要求
Analysis of Hospital Bed Requirements Using Discrete Event Simulation and Mathematical Modeling
论文作者
论文摘要
使用小型和离散的事件模拟,我们观察到了由医院和人们在不同初始条件下生病/康复的系统的不同模型响应。 在我们的模型中,每个独立人士都可以以指数级的速度生病。医院的能力有限,仅接受有限的病人。当医院饱满后,人们被送回家治愈。这是在不同条件下进行模拟的,模拟结果表明该模型在每种情况下都达到稳态。这些导致模拟的输出彼此相似,即使在不同的初始条件下运行了模拟。将结果与机器维修问题和Erlang-loss系统进行了比较,并验证了模型。
Using SimPy and Discrete Event Simulation we have observed the different model responses of a system consisting of a hospital and people getting sick/healing under different initial conditions. In our model, each independent person can get sick at an exponential rate. The hospital's capacity is limited and accepts only a limited amount of sick people. When the hospital gets full, people are sent home to heal. This is simulated under different conditions and the simulation results have demonstrated that the model reaches the steady-state in every scenario. These cause the outputs of the simulation to be similar to each other even when the simulation is run with different initial conditions. The results are compared with the Machine Repair Problem and Erlang-Loss System and the model is validated.