论文标题
部分可观测时空混沌系统的无模型预测
A Family of Neyman-Pearson-Based Detectors for Noise-Type Radars
论文作者
论文摘要
储层计算是预测湍流的有力工具,其简单的架构具有处理大型系统的计算效率。然而,其实现通常需要完整的状态向量测量和系统非线性知识。我们使用非线性投影函数将系统测量扩展到高维空间,然后将其输入到储层中以获得预测。我们展示了这种储层计算网络在时空混沌系统上的应用,该系统模拟了湍流的若干特征。我们表明,使用径向基函数作为非线性投影器,即使只有部分观测并且不知道控制方程,也能稳健地捕捉复杂的系统非线性。最后,我们表明,当测量稀疏、不完整且带有噪声,甚至控制方程变得不准确时,我们的网络仍然可以产生相当准确的预测,从而为实际湍流系统的无模型预测铺平了道路。
We derive a detector that optimizes the target detection performance of any single-input single-output noise radar satisfying the following properties: it transmits Gaussian noise, it retains an internal reference signal for matched filtering, all external noise is additive white Gaussian noise, and all signals are measured using heterodyne receivers. This class of radars, which we call noise-type radars, includes not only many types of standard noise radars, but also a type of quantum radar known as quantum two-mode squeezing radar. The detector, which we derive using the Neyman-Pearson lemma, is not practical because it requires foreknowledge of a target-dependent correlation coefficient that cannot be known beforehand. (It is, however, a natural standard of comparison for other detectors.) This motivates us to study the family of Neyman-Pearson-based detectors that result when the correlation coefficient is treated as a parameter. We derive the probability distribution of the Neyman-Pearson-based detectors when there is a mismatch between the pre-chosen parameter value and the true correlation coefficient. We then use this result to generate receiver operating characteristic curves. Finally, we apply our results to the case where the correlation coefficient is small. It turns out that the resulting detector is not only a good one, but that it has appeared previously in the quantum radar literature.