论文标题

在现实通勤交通中的个性化驾驶行为和燃油经济性:建模,相关性和预测

Personalized Driving Behaviors and Fuel Economy over Realistic Commute Traffic: Modeling, Correlation, and Prediction

论文作者

Ma, Yao, Wang, Junmin

论文摘要

驾驶员在自然交通流动的操作车辆(例如首选的踏板位置,跟随距离,预览时间前进等)时具有独特的行为。这些高度个性化的行为变化已知会在定性上影响车辆燃油经济性。然而,驾驶行为与车辆燃油消耗之间的定量关系仍然晦涩。解决这种关键的缺失链接将有助于改善运输可持续性,并了解驾驶员的行为多样性。这项研究提出了一种综合的微观驾驶员行为和燃油消耗模型,以评估和预测自然主义高速公路和当地通勤数据的车辆燃油经济性。通过广泛的蒙特卡洛模拟,特定的个人驾驶偏好与频繁通勤路线的燃油经济性之间的揭示了显着的相关结果。相关结果表明,即使在相同的交通条件下,各种驾驶行为产生的燃油消耗差异也可能为轻型卡车29%,乘用车的燃油消耗也可能达到29%。在不同的交通和车辆条件下,对高斯流程回归模型进行了进一步培训,验证和测试,以根据驾驶员的个性化行为来预测燃油消耗。这样的定量和个性化模型可用于识别和推荐燃油友好的驾驶行为和路线,表明对相关利益相关者的强烈动机。

Drivers have distinctively diverse behaviors when operating vehicles in natural traffic flow, such as preferred pedal position, car-following distance, preview time headway, etc. These highly personalized behavioral variations are known to impact vehicle fuel economy qualitatively. Nevertheless, the quantitative relationship between driving behaviors and vehicle fuel consumption remains obscure. Addressing this critical missing link will contribute to the improvement of transportation sustainability, as well as understanding drivers' behavioral diversity. This study proposed an integrated microscopic driver behavior and fuel consumption model to assess and predict vehicle fuel economy with naturalistic highway and local commuting traffic data. Through extensive Monte Carlo simulations, significant correlation results are revealed between specific individual driving preferences and fuel economy over drivers' frequent commuting routes. Correlation results indicate that the differences in fuel consumption incurred by various driving behaviors, even in the same traffic conditions, can be as much as 29% for a light-duty truck and 15% for a passenger car. A Gaussian Process Regression model is further trained, validated, and tested under different traffic and vehicle conditions to predict fuel consumption based on drivers' personalized behaviors. Such a quantitative and personalized model can be used to identify and recommend fuel-friendly driving behaviors and routes, demonstrating a strong incentive for relevant stakeholders.

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