论文标题
通过自动聚类管道来表征电消费者
Characterization of electric consumers through an automated clustering pipeline
论文作者
论文摘要
每日负载概况的聚类分析代表了一种根据其实际消费模式对电动用户进行分类和汇总的有效技术。除其他目的外,它可以被利用为负载预测的初步阶段,该阶段以相同的方式应用于同一集群的消费者。在文献中已经提出和开发了几种聚类算法,并且最合适的聚类参数的选择对于确保可靠的结果至关重要。在本文中,提出了适合重复聚类分析的自动化服务。管道能够处理通用的时间序列数据集,并且可以轻松调节以测试其他聚类输入参数。因此,可以使用特定数据集找到最佳的参数集。此外,它促进了对实时负载概况的反复表征,目的是检测消费者行为的突然变化和可变的外部条件,从而影响了短暂的时间尺度上的真实功率预测活动。
Clustering analysis of daily load profiles represents an effective technique to classify and aggregate electric users based on their actual consumption patterns. Among other purposes, it may be exploited as a preliminary stage for load forecasting, which is applied in the same way to consumers in the same cluster. Several clustering algorithms have been proposed and developed in the literature, and the choice of the most appropriate set of clustering parameters is crucial for ensuring reliable results. In this paper, an automated service, suited for repeated clustering analysis, is presented. The pipeline is able to process a generic time series dataset and is easily adjustable to test other clustering input parameters; therefore, it may be utilized to find the best set of parameters with the specific dataset. Moreover, it facilitates repeated characterization on real-time load profiles with the aim of detecting sudden changes of consumers behaviors and variable external conditions, which influence the real power forecasting activity on a short temporal scale.