论文标题

欧盟和美国电网上的同步动力学

Synchronization dynamics on the EU and US power grids

论文作者

Ódor, Géza, Deng, Shengfeng, Hartmann, Bálint, Kelling, Jeffrey

论文摘要

通过求解二阶Kuramoto方程,对欧盟和美国高压电网上的级联故障进行动态模拟。我们表明,同步转变通过将全局耦合参数$ k $与元atble状态增加,具体取决于初始条件,以便发生磁滞回路。我们为大型$ k $近似中的频率差异的时间依赖性提供了分析结果,并通过将其与$ d = 2,3 $ lattices的数字进行比较,在有序的初始条件下,我们找到了一致。但是,当波动强劲时,会发生不同的幂律(PL)尾巴。对系统进行热量化后,我们允许单线切割故障,并遵循有关阈值$ t $的后续过载。 CASCADE故障的PDFS $ P(N_F)$在同步过渡点$ K_C $附近显示PL尾巴。接近$ k_c $,美国电力电网的PL-S指数与$ t $的不同,为$ 1.4 \leτ\ le 2.1 $,与经验停电统计一致,而在欧盟功率电网上,我们发现以$ 1.4 \ le fe f leτ°τ\ le 2.4 $ 2.4 $。低于$ k_c $,我们发现$ t $依赖性PL-S的签名是由沮丧的同步引起的,让人联想到Griffiths效果。在这里,我们还观察到停电级联后的稳定性增长,类似于故意的岛化,但对于$ k> k_c $,这并不发生。对于$ t <t_c $,颠簸出现在PDF中,其平均值很大,称为“龙王”停电事件。我们还分析了瞬时反馈或增加耗散的延迟/稳定作用,并显示局部同步在地理图上的表现。

Dynamical simulation of the cascade failures on the EU and USA high-voltage power grids has been done via solving the second-order Kuramoto equation. We show that synchronization transition happens by increasing the global coupling parameter $K$ with metasatble states depending on the initial conditions so that hysteresis loops occur. We provide analytic results for the time dependence of frequency spread in the large $K$ approximation and by comparing it with numerics of $d=2,3$ lattices, we find agreement in the case of ordered initial conditions. However, different power-law (PL) tails occur, when the fluctuations are strong. After thermalizing the systems we allow a single line cut failure and follow the subsequent overloads with respect to threshold values $T$. The PDFs $p(N_f)$ of the cascade failures exhibit PL tails near the synchronization transition point $K_c$. Near $K_c$ the exponents of the PL-s for the US power grid vary with $T$ as $1.4 \le τ\le 2.1$, in agreement with the empirical blackout statistics, while on the EU power grid we find somewhat steeper PL-s characterized by $1.4 \le τ\le 2.4$. Below $K_c$ we find signatures of $T$-dependent PL-s, caused by frustrated synchronization, reminiscent of Griffiths effects. Here we also observe stability growth following the blackout cascades, similar to intentional islanding, but for $K > K_c$ this does not happen. For $T < T_c$, bumps appear in the PDFs with large mean values, known as "dragon king" blackout events. We also analyze the delaying/stabilizing effects of instantaneous feedback or increased dissipation and show how local synchronization behaves on geographic maps.

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