论文标题

乳房X线摄影中乳房密度评估的三个应用预测的三种应用

Three Applications of Conformal Prediction for Rating Breast Density in Mammography

论文作者

Lu, Charles, Chang, Ken, Singh, Praveer, Kalpathy-Cramer, Jayashree

论文摘要

乳腺癌是最常见的癌症,乳房X线摄影筛查的早期发现对于改善患者预后至关重要。评估乳房X线乳房密度在临床上很重要,因为浓密的乳房风险更高,并且更有可能阻塞肿瘤。专家的手动评估既耗时又受评估者间的可变性。因此,人们对开发乳房X线乳房密度评估的深度学习方法的兴趣增加了。尽管有深入的学习在乳房X线摄影的应用中表现出令人印象深刻的表现,但在仍然相对较少的深度学习系统中的临床部署中,尽管如此。从历史上看,乳房X线摄影计算机辅助诊断(CAD)已过分宣传,并且未能交付。这部分是由于无法直观地量化临床医生算法的不确定性,这将大大提高可用性。共形预测非常适合增加对深度学习工具的可靠和信任,但它们缺乏对医疗数据集的现实评估。在本文中,我们介绍了应用于医学成像任务的三个可能应用的详细分析:分配转移表征,预测质量的改进和亚组公平分析。我们的结果表明,无分配不确定性量化技术的潜力可以增强对AI算法的信任并加快其翻译为使用。

Breast cancer is the most common cancers and early detection from mammography screening is crucial in improving patient outcomes. Assessing mammographic breast density is clinically important as the denser breasts have higher risk and are more likely to occlude tumors. Manual assessment by experts is both time-consuming and subject to inter-rater variability. As such, there has been increased interest in the development of deep learning methods for mammographic breast density assessment. Despite deep learning having demonstrated impressive performance in several prediction tasks for applications in mammography, clinical deployment of deep learning systems in still relatively rare; historically, mammography Computer-Aided Diagnoses (CAD) have over-promised and failed to deliver. This is in part due to the inability to intuitively quantify uncertainty of the algorithm for the clinician, which would greatly enhance usability. Conformal prediction is well suited to increase reliably and trust in deep learning tools but they lack realistic evaluations on medical datasets. In this paper, we present a detailed analysis of three possible applications of conformal prediction applied to medical imaging tasks: distribution shift characterization, prediction quality improvement, and subgroup fairness analysis. Our results show the potential of distribution-free uncertainty quantification techniques to enhance trust on AI algorithms and expedite their translation to usage.

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