论文标题
量化国际象棋的人类表现
Quantifying human performance in chess
论文作者
论文摘要
从体育到科学,最近的大规模数据的可用性使人们可以对人类创新和各种领域的成功的驱动力有所了解。在这里,我们通过利用一个非常大的数据集来量化流行的国际象棋游戏,其中包括近100万玩家之间的超过1.2亿场比赛。我们发现,人们遇到了重复成功的热门条纹,初学者比专家球员更长,甚至不满意的表现更长。可以根据自己的游戏行为将熟练的玩家与其他玩家区分开。从游戏的第一步出现了差异,专家倾向于专注并重复相同的空缺,而初学者则更多地探索和多样化。但是,专家经历了更广泛的响应曲目,并对同一行内的不同变化显示了更深入的了解。随着时间的流逝,玩家的开场多样性往往会减少,这暗示了个人比赛风格的发展。但是,我们发现玩家通常无法识别出最成功的空缺。总体而言,我们的工作有助于量化竞争环境中的人类绩效,从而对国际象棋中的个体职业进行了首次大规模的定量分析,从而有助于公开将精英与初学者绩效分开的决定因素。
From sports to science, the recent availability of large-scale data has allowed to gain insights on the drivers of human innovation and success in a variety of domains. Here we quantify human performance in the popular game of chess by leveraging a very large dataset comprising of over 120 million games between almost 1 million players. We find that individuals encounter hot streaks of repeated success, longer for beginners than for expert players, and even longer cold streaks of unsatisfying performance. Skilled players can be distinguished from the others based on their gaming behaviour. Differences appear from the very first moves of the game, with experts tending to specialize and repeat the same openings while beginners explore and diversify more. However, experts experience a broader response repertoire, and display a deeper understanding of different variations within the same line. Over time, the opening diversity of a player tends to decrease, hinting at the development of individual playing styles. Nevertheless, we find that players are often not able to recognize their most successful openings. Overall, our work contributes to quantifying human performance in competitive settings, providing a first large-scale quantitative analysis of individual careers in chess, helping unveil the determinants separating elite from beginner performance.