论文标题
通过机器学习预测蠕变失败 - 哪些功能重要?
Predicting Creep Failure by Machine Learning -- Which Features Matter?
论文作者
论文摘要
关于它们的空间和时间特征,研究了其对机器学习(ML)亚临界失败的故障时间预测的预测价值(ML)。数据是由新型脆性随机保险丝模型(RFM)的模拟以及具有损害的随机可塑性模型的弹性塑料有限元模拟(FEM)产生的,这两个模型都考虑了无序材料中的随机热激活损伤/失败过程。保险丝网络由分层和非等级体系结构生成。随机森林 - 特定的ML算法 - 允许我们通过功能的平均误差减少来衡量特征的重要性。发现随着系统尺寸和温度的增加,发现RFM模拟数据变得更可预测。增加局部材料特性中的负载或散射具有相反的效果。这些模型中的损坏积累在随机雪崩中进行,并且在文献中已经讨论了诸如雪崩率或幅度之类的统计标志,作为初期失败的预测指标。但是,在本研究中,此类特征证明没有可测量的ML模型使用,该模型主要依赖于全球或局部菌株进行预测。这表明应变是可行数量的,以在未来的实验研究中监测,因为它可以通过数字图像相关性访问。
Spatial and temporal features are studied with respect to their predictive value for failure time prediction in subcritical failure with machine learning (ML). Data are generated from simulations of a novel, brittle random fuse model (RFM), as well as elasto-plastic finite element simulations (FEM) of a stochastic plasticity model with damage, both models considering stochastic thermally activated damage/failure processes in disordered materials. Fuse networks are generated with hierarchical and nonhierarchical architectures. Random forests - a specific ML algorithm - allow us to measure the feature importance through a feature's average error reduction. RFM simulation data are found to become more predictable with increasing system size and temperature. Increasing the load or the scatter in local materials properties has the opposite effect. Damage accumulation in these models proceeds in stochastic avalanches, and statistical signatures such as avalanche rate or magnitude have been discussed in the literature as predictors of incipient failure. However, in the present study such features proved of no measurable use to the ML models, which mostly rely on global or local strain for prediction. This suggests the strain as viable quantity to monitor in future experimental studies as it is accessible via digital image correlation.