论文标题

来自印度股市不同领域的投资组合设计的股票绩效评估

Stock Performance Evaluation for Portfolio Design from Different Sectors of the Indian Stock Market

论文作者

Sen, Jaydip, Awad, Arpit, Raj, Aaditya, Ray, Gourav, Chakraborty, Pusparna, Das, Sanket, Mishra, Subhasmita

论文摘要

股票市场提供了一个平台,人们购买和出售公开上市公司的股票。通常,股票价格非常波动。因此,预测他们是一项艰巨的任务。在股票价格预测中,仍有很多研究将提高准确性。投资组合构造是指最佳的不同部门库存的分配,以通过承担最小风险来获得最大回报。良好的投资组合可以通过承担最低风险来帮助投资者获得最大的利润。从道琼斯理论(Dow Jones)理论开始,在建筑有效的投资组合领域发生了很多进步。在这个项目中,我们试图预测印度经济六个重要部门的少数股票的未来价值,并建立了投资组合。作为该项目的一部分,我们的团队已经研究了各种时间序列,机器学习和深度学习模型的性能,以对所选六个重要部门的选定股票进行股票价格预测。作为建立高效投资组合的一部分,我们研究了从现代投资组合理论开始的多种投资组合优化理论。我们通过在过去五年中使用每日股票价格作为培训数据,为所有六个选择的部门建立了最小的差异投资组合和最佳风险投资组合,并进行了返回测试以检查投资组合的性能。我们期待在股票价格预测和资产分配方面继续进行研究,并将该项目视为第一个垫脚石。

The stock market offers a platform where people buy and sell shares of publicly listed companies. Generally, stock prices are quite volatile; hence predicting them is a daunting task. There is still much research going to develop more accuracy in stock price prediction. Portfolio construction refers to the allocation of different sector stocks optimally to achieve a maximum return by taking a minimum risk. A good portfolio can help investors earn maximum profit by taking a minimum risk. Beginning with Dow Jones Theory a lot of advancement has happened in the area of building efficient portfolios. In this project, we have tried to predict the future value of a few stocks from six important sectors of the Indian economy and also built a portfolio. As part of the project, our team has conducted a study of the performance of various Time series, machine learning, and deep learning models in stock price prediction on selected stocks from the chosen six important sectors of the economy. As part of building an efficient portfolio, we have studied multiple portfolio optimization theories beginning with the Modern Portfolio theory. We have built a minimum variance portfolio and optimal risk portfolio for all the six chosen sectors by using the daily stock prices over the past five years as training data and have also conducted back testing to check the performance of the portfolio. We look forward to continuing our study in the area of stock price prediction and asset allocation and consider this project as the first stepping stone.

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