论文标题
共和党人和民主党人在19日大流行期间的死亡率过高
Excess death rates for Republicans and Democrats during the COVID-19 pandemic
论文作者
论文摘要
政治隶属关系已成为Covid-19的潜在危险因素，这在证据表明，共和党倾向的县比民主党倾向县的死亡率更高，并且是政党隶属关系与疫苗接种观点之间有联系的证据。这项研究通过2017年在俄亥俄州和佛罗里达州的2017年选民注册到2018年至2021年的死亡率数据的链接，构建了一个具有政治隶属关系和过量死亡率的个人级别数据集。与注册民主党相比，几乎所有的差异都可以估计，我们的差异几乎可以估计，我们的差额几乎可以估计，我们的差异都广泛地估计，我们估计了注册的共和党人的死亡率高度较高。总体而言，共和党人的过度死亡率为5.4个百分点（PP），即76％，高于民主党人的过剩死亡率。疫苗后，共和党人与民主党人之间的过度死亡率差距从1.6 pp（民主党超额死亡率的22％）扩大到10.4 pp（占民主人士多余死亡率的153％）。共和党人与民主党之间过多的死亡率的差距集中在疫苗接种率较低的县，并且仅在疫苗广泛可用后才能实现。
Political affiliation has emerged as a potential risk factor for COVID-19, amid evidence that Republican-leaning counties have had higher COVID-19 death rates than Democrat-leaning counties and evidence of a link between political party affiliation and vaccination views. This study constructs an individual-level dataset with political affiliation and excess death rates during the COVID-19 pandemic via a linkage of 2017 voter registration in Ohio and Florida to mortality data from 2018 to 2021. We estimate substantially higher excess death rates for registered Republicans when compared to registered Democrats, with almost all of the difference concentrated in the period after vaccines were widely available in our study states. Overall, the excess death rate for Republicans was 5.4 percentage points (pp), or 76%, higher than the excess death rate for Democrats. Post-vaccines, the excess death rate gap between Republicans and Democrats widened from 1.6 pp (22% of the Democrat excess death rate) to 10.4 pp (153% of the Democrat excess death rate). The gap in excess death rates between Republicans and Democrats is concentrated in counties with low vaccination rates and only materializes after vaccines became widely available.
