论文标题
自适应计划的机构基础：美国德克萨斯州下里奥格兰德山谷的洪水规划探索
Institutional Foundations of Adaptive Planning: Exploration of Flood Planning in the Lower Rio Grande Valley, Texas, USA
论文作者
论文摘要
自适应计划非常适合气候变化带来的深层不确定性。尽管关于自适应计划的理论和方法有一项强大的奖学金，但这在很大程度上忽略了自适应计划如何受到现有规划机构的影响以及如何在传统规划组织的约束中前进。这项研究问：现有的传统规划机构如何支持自适应计划？我们在美国德克萨斯州下里奥格兰德河谷的洪水规划中探讨了这一点。我们借鉴了县危害计划和区域洪水计划文件以及区域洪水计划会议的成绩单，以探讨这些机构产出的新主题。使用自然语言处理来分析大量文本，我们发现制定这些计划的危害计划和讨论在很大程度上缺乏适应性方法。
Adaptive planning is ideally suited for the deep uncertainties presented by climate change. While there is a robust scholarship on the theory and methods of adaptive planning, this has largely neglected how adaptive planning is affected by existing planning institutions and how to move forward within the constraints of traditional planning organizations. This study asks: How do existing traditional planning institutions support adaptive planning? We explore this for flood planning in the Lower Rio Grande Valley of Texas, United States. We draw on county hazard plan and regional flood plan documents as well as transcripts of regional flood planning meetings to explore the emergent topics of these institutional outputs. Using Natural Language Processing to analyze this large amount of text, we find that hazard plans and discussions developing these plans are largely lacking an adaptive approach.
