论文标题

人工智能和创新以减少极端天气事件对可持续生产的影响

Artificial Intelligence and Innovation to Reduce the Impact of Extreme Weather Events on Sustainable Production

论文作者

Effah, Derrick, Bai, Chunguang, Quayson, Matthew

论文摘要

极端天气事件的频繁发生很大程度上影响了我们社会中特权较弱的生活,尤其是在农业分配的经济体中。极端火灾,洪水,干旱,气旋以及其他人在土地上的可持续生产和生命的不可预测性(SDG目标15),这转化为粮食不安全和人口较差。幸运的是,诸如人工智能(AI),物联网(IoT),区块链,3D打印以及虚拟和增强现实(VR和AR)等现代技术有望降低社会中极端天气的风险和影响。但是,尚不清楚这些技术如何帮助减少极端天气的影响的研究方向。这使得在极端天气领域中启动数字技术变得具有挑战性。在本文中,我们采用了Delphi最糟糕的方法和机器学习方法来识别和评估技术的推动因素。 BWM评估表明,预测性质是AI最重要的标准和作用,而大众市场潜力是不太重要的标准。基于此结果,我们测试了机器在公开可用数据集上的预测能力,以使AI的预测性ROL。我们介绍了该研究的管理和方法论上的含义,这对于研究和实践至关重要。这项研究中使用的方法可以帮助决策者制定战略和干预措施,以保护可持续生产。这还将促进分配稀缺资源和投资,以改善AI技术,以减少极端事件的不利影响。相应地,我们提出了这一点的局限性,这需要将来的研究。

Frequent occurrences of extreme weather events substantially impact the lives of the less privileged in our societies, particularly in agriculture-inclined economies. The unpredictability of extreme fires, floods, drought, cyclones, and others endangers sustainable production and life on land (SDG goal 15), which translates into food insecurity and poorer populations. Fortunately, modern technologies such as Artificial Intelligent (AI), the Internet of Things (IoT), blockchain, 3D printing, and virtual and augmented reality (VR and AR) are promising to reduce the risk and impact of extreme weather in our societies. However, research directions on how these technologies could help reduce the impact of extreme weather are unclear. This makes it challenging to emploring digital technologies within the spheres of extreme weather. In this paper, we employed the Delphi Best Worst method and Machine learning approaches to identify and assess the push factors of technology. The BWM evaluation revealed that predictive nature was AI's most important criterion and role, while the mass-market potential was the less important criterion. Based on this outcome, we tested the predictive ability of machine elarning on a publilcly available dataset to affrm the predictive rols of AI. We presented the managerial and methodological implications of the study, which are crucial for research and practice. The methodology utilized in this study could aid decision-makers in devising strategies and interventions to safeguard sustainable production. This will also facilitate allocating scarce resources and investment in improving AI techniques to reduce the adverse impacts of extreme events. Correspondingly, we put forward the limitations of this, which necessitate future research.

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