论文标题
系统级电力负载预测的概率预测方法
Probabilistic Forecasting Methods for System-Level Electricity Load Forecasting
论文作者
论文摘要
负载预测已成为能源安全的组成部分。由于可以在这样的预测中考虑的各种影响因素，因此还有各种各样的模型试图以各种方式将这些参数集成到系统中。由于概率负载预测模型的重要性越来越重要，因此在此分析中提出了不同的方法。重点放在短期部门的不同模型上。之后，提出了长期部门的另一个模型。然后，提出的模型相互关联，并参考优势和缺点。之后，分析了介绍的论文，重点是它们彼此的可比性。最后，将讨论有关文献中进一步发展领域的前景。
Load forecasts have become an integral part of energy security. Due to the various influencing factors that can be considered in such a forecast, there is also a wide range of models that attempt to integrate these parameters into a system in various ways. Due to the growing importance of probabilistic load forecast models, different approaches are presented in this analysis. The focus is on different models from the short-term sector. After that, another model from the long-term sector is presented. Then, the presented models are put in relation to each other and examined with reference to advantages and disadvantages. Afterwards, the presented papers are analyzed with focus on their comparability to each other. Finally, an outlook on further areas of development in the literature will be discussed.
