论文标题

以数据为中心工程的因果推断

Causal inference for data centric engineering

论文作者

Graham, Daniel J

论文摘要

本文回顾了试图从观察数据中汲取因果推断的方法,并演示了如何将其应用于工程研究中的经验问题。它根据潜在结果的概念提出了因果识别的框架,并回顾了可用于估计因果量的核心当代方法。本文有两个目的:首先,提供了有关以数据为中心工程社区的因果推断的统计文献的合并概述;其次,为了说明如何应用因果概念和方法。后一个目标是通过蒙特卡洛模拟实现的,该模拟旨在复制工程研究中遇到的典型经验问题。为读者提供了用于仿真的R代码,并适应了现实世界研究。因果推论旨在量化由于非实验性设置中的显式干预(或“治疗”)引起的影响,通常用于非随机分配的治疗方法。本文认为,工程干预措施的分析通常以这种情况为特征,因此,因果推论具有直接且有价值的适用性。

The paper reviews methods that seek to draw causal inference from observational data and demonstrates how they can be applied to empirical problems in engineering research. It presents a framework for causal identification based on the concept of potential outcomes and reviews core contemporary methods that can be used to estimate causal quantities. The paper has two aims: first, to provide a consolidated overview of the statistical literature on causal inference for the data centric engineering community; and second, to illustrate how causal concepts and methods can be applied. The latter aim is achieved through Monte Carlo simulations designed to replicate typical empirical problems encountered in engineering research. R code for the simulations is made available for readers to run and adapt and citations are given to real world studies. Causal inference aims to quantify effects that occur due to explicit intervention (or 'treatment') in non-experimental settings, typically for non-randomly assigned treatments. The paper argues that analyses of engineering interventions are often characterized by such conditions, and consequently, that causal inference has immediate and valuable applicability.

扫码加入交流群

加入微信交流群

微信交流群二维码

扫码加入学术交流群,获取更多资源