论文标题
进一步分析多级Stein变分梯度下降,并应用于冰川冰模型的贝叶斯推断
Further analysis of multilevel Stein variational gradient descent with an application to the Bayesian inference of glacier ice models
论文作者
论文摘要
储层计算是预测湍流的有力工具,其简单的架构具有处理大型系统的计算效率。然而,其实现通常需要完整的状态向量测量和系统非线性知识。我们使用非线性投影函数将系统测量扩展到高维空间,然后将其输入到储层中以获得预测。我们展示了这种储层计算网络在时空混沌系统上的应用,该系统模拟了湍流的若干特征。我们表明,使用径向基函数作为非线性投影器,即使只有部分观测并且不知道控制方程,也能稳健地捕捉复杂的系统非线性。最后,我们表明,当测量稀疏、不完整且带有噪声,甚至控制方程变得不准确时,我们的网络仍然可以产生相当准确的预测,从而为实际湍流系统的无模型预测铺平了道路。
Multilevel Stein variational gradient descent is a method for particle-based variational inference that leverages hierarchies of surrogate target distributions with varying costs and fidelity to computationally speed up inference. The contribution of this work is twofold. First, an extension of a previous cost complexity analysis is presented that applies even when the exponential convergence rate of single-level Stein variational gradient descent depends on iteration-varying parameters. Second, multilevel Stein variational gradient descent is applied to a large-scale Bayesian inverse problem of inferring discretized basal sliding coefficient fields of the Arolla glacier ice. The numerical experiments demonstrate that the multilevel version achieves orders of magnitude speedups compared to its single-level version.