论文标题

通过共形预测校准无线通信的AI模型

Calibrating AI Models for Wireless Communications via Conformal Prediction

论文作者

Cohen, Kfir M., Park, Sangwoo, Simeone, Osvaldo, Shamai, Shlomo

论文摘要

当用于复杂的工程系统(例如通信网络)时,人工智能(AI)模型不仅应尽可能准确,而且还应进行良好的校准。经过良好校准的AI模型是可以可靠地量化其决策不确定性的模型,将高置信度分配给可能是正确的置信水平,而置信度较低的决策可能是错误的。本文调查了共形预测作为一般框架的应用,以获取具有正式校准保证决策的AI模型。共形预测将概率预测因子转化为集合预测指标,这些预测因素可以保证包含正确答案,并以设计者选择的概率。这种正式的校准可以保证不论真正的,未知的,是感兴趣的变量产生的基本分布,并且可以根据合奏或时间平均概率来定义。在本文中,首次将共形预测应用于与频繁主义和贝叶斯学习结合使用的通信系统的AI设计,重点是解调,调制分类和渠道预测。

When used in complex engineered systems, such as communication networks, artificial intelligence (AI) models should be not only as accurate as possible, but also well calibrated. A well-calibrated AI model is one that can reliably quantify the uncertainty of its decisions, assigning high confidence levels to decisions that are likely to be correct and low confidence levels to decisions that are likely to be erroneous. This paper investigates the application of conformal prediction as a general framework to obtain AI models that produce decisions with formal calibration guarantees. Conformal prediction transforms probabilistic predictors into set predictors that are guaranteed to contain the correct answer with a probability chosen by the designer. Such formal calibration guarantees hold irrespective of the true, unknown, distribution underlying the generation of the variables of interest, and can be defined in terms of ensemble or time-averaged probabilities. In this paper, conformal prediction is applied for the first time to the design of AI for communication systems in conjunction to both frequentist and Bayesian learning, focusing on demodulation, modulation classification, and channel prediction.

扫码加入交流群

加入微信交流群

微信交流群二维码

扫码加入学术交流群,获取更多资源